Evaluation of Akure 132kV Transformer Substation Load Growth Trend
Keywords:
Growth trend, Load forecast, Moving average, OverloadingAbstract
Statistical method of the least squares was used in long term load growth forecast based on retrospective load growth data (2003-2023) for Akure 132kV Injection substation. Growth trend was established and the smoothening of the actual growth dynamics was achieved by applying moving averages. The load growth trend line equations obtained enable the determination of load forecast estimate up to 2023. It was inferred from the results that the load growth forecast estimate for transformers, T1A, T2A, T3A and FUTA line are 19.24MW, 28.02MW, 45.02MW and 1.05MW respectively for a period of ten years.
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